Tag Archives: bailout banks

Business, Real Estate

Banks Banking Their Money

Banks and their money
Banks and their money

So the major banks have been given billions of dollars from TARP so we could start borrowing money to buy cars and homes to get the economy going again. But now that the banks are awash in cash they’re keeping it in the bank. It seems that the banks are hoarding their cash so they can pay back TARP funds and of course, so they can raise the pay of their CEO’s. After all, they claim if they can’t pay millions to the top help, they won’t be able to hire good managers?

According to Fortune Magazine, writing about the large amounts of cash that lending institutions have on hand:

“The rise was even more dramatic at Bank of America, where cash on hand soared to $173 billion at the end of the first quarter from $33 billion at year-end. CEO Ken Lewis, whose Charlotte-based bank recently acquired the troubled broker-dealer Merrill Lynch, called the shift “very expensive in the short term but well worth the cost in the long term.”

Other institutions holding cash are Goldman, $164 billion, Morgan Stanley $150 billion, AmEX, $25 billion in the third quarter from $13 billion in the forth quarter.

Here’s another quote from Fortune Magazine:

“Liquidity allows the banks to lend if they can find borrowers who can pay them back,” said Gary Townsend, a former bank analyst who now runs Hill-Townsend Capital in Chevy Chase, Md. “That’s the big challenge right now, because the risk-adjusted returns are as big as we’ve seen in a couple of decades.”

Interpret that statement to mean if you want to borrow money from a bank, you must have enough money and assets that you really don’t need to borrow money.

Real Estate

Have We Hit the Bottom of the Housing Market?

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frogs1

Another indicator that we may be nearing the bottom of the housing market is builder confidence in April made its most dramatic increase in nearly seven years, according to an industry report.

According to  CNN Money

“The Housing Market Index, a survey-based measurement of sales, as well as sales expectations, rose by more than 50% in April, according to the National Association of Home Builders, which compiles the index with Wells Fargo.

The index rose to 14 from its prior level of 9, which was the biggest increase since May 2003

“After a very long period of extreme distress, it’s given the builders some sense of reaching a bottom,” said David Crowe, chief economist for the association”

This is just one of several indicators that we may be bottoming out. Sales in Nevada County have been increasing in April to a point where we have 199 pending sales on the Nevada County Multiple Listing Service (MLS) as of yesterday.

There are large home price changes occurring, some as much as minus $600,000 or more. These large price reductions are in all probability, based on sellers setting their own price based either because of emotional reasons or basing their price on what houses sold for a few years ago. In a declining market, it is very important to list your home a little below the market.

You should have a good market analysis of your home made by your real estate agent and base your listing price based on facts, not emotional reasons, how much money you need to get out of your home, or what you think your house is worth. (I know, sometimes that is hard to do) It’s an un-fortunate fact of life that the market sets what a house sells for and not what we want to sell our house for, No?

Oh, to answer if we have hit the bottom of the housing market, I don’t know and I doubt if anyone else does either. But it sure looks close to the bottom.

Real Estate

Derivative Markets….an explanation

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 Warren Buffet in his letter to the shareholders in 2003 described derivatives as “financial weapons of mass destruction, carrying dangers that, while now latent, are potentially lethal.” His vision of derivatives being destructive is so true, as we live in 2009, in the ruins of financial institutions. 

I received this e-mail from a friend of mine and thought it was a great explanation of what derivative markets are and decided to put this on the website. Enjoy.

Heidi is the proprietor of a bar in Detroit.

In order to increase sales, she decides to allow her loyal custormers-most of whom are unemployed alcoholics-to drink now but pay later.  She keeps track of the drinks cosumed on a ledger, thereby granting the customers loans.

 Word gets around about Heidi’s drink now pay later marketing strategy and as a result, increasing numbers of customers flood into Heidi’s bar and soon she has the largest sale volume for any bar in Detroit. By providing her customers’ freedom from immediate payment demands, Heidi gets no resistance when she substantially increases her prices for wine and beer, the most consumed beverages. Her sales volume increases massively.

A young and dynamic vice-president at the local bank recognizes these customer debts as valuable future assets and increases Heidi’s borrowing limit. 

He sees no reason for undue concern since he has the debts of the alcoholics as collateral. At the bank’s corporate headquarters, expert traders transform these customer loans into DRINKBONDS, ALKIBONDS and PUKEBONDS. These securities are then traded on security markets worldwide. Naive investors don’t really understand the securities being sold to them as AAA secured bonds are really the debts of unemployed alcoholics. 

Nevertheless, their prices continuously climb, and the securities become the top-selling items for some of the nation’s leading brokerage houses who collect enormous fees on their sales, pay extravagant bonuses to their sales force, and who in turn purchase exotic sports cars and multimillion dollar condominiums.

One day, although the bond prices are still climbing, a risk manager at the bank (subsequently fired due to his negativity), decides that the time has come to demand payment on the debts incurred by the drinkers at Heidi’s bar. Heidi demands payment from her alcoholic patrons, but being unemployed they cannot pay back their drinking debts.

Therefore, Heidi cannot fulfill her loan obligations and claims bankruptcy. DRINKBOND and ALKIBOND drop in price by 90%. PUKEBOND performs better, stabilizing in price after dropping by 80%. The decreased bond asset value destroys the banks liquidity and prevents it from issuing new loans.

The suppliers of Heidi’s bar, having granted her generous payment extensions and having invested in the securities are faced with writing off her debt and losing over 80% on her bonds. Her wine supplier claims bankruptcy, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor, who immediately closes the local plant and lays off 50 workers. The bank and brokerage houses are saved by the Government following dramatic round-the-clock negotiations by leaders from both political parties. The funds required for this bailout are obtained by a tax levied on employed middle-class non-drinkers.

Finally an explanation I understand……

Real Estate

Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending

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Fannie Mae announced that in order to help ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, they are going to ease the credit requirements on loans it purchases from banks and other lenders.

The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15 markets — including the New York metropolitan region — will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans. Fannie Mae officials say they hope to make it a nationwide program by next spring.

Quoting the New York Times:

“In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies have been pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to so-called subprime borrowers. These borrowers whose incomes, credit ratings and savings are not good enough to qualify for conventional loans, can only get loans from finance companies that charge much higher interest rates — anywhere from three to four percentage points higher than conventional loans.

”Fannie Mae has expanded home ownership for millions of families in the 1990’s by reducing down payment requirements,” said Franklin D. Raines, Fannie Mae’s chairman and chief executive officer. ”Yet there remain too many borrowers whose credit is just a notch below what our underwriting has required who have been relegated to paying significantly higher mortgage rates in the so-called subprime market.”

In moving, even tentatively, into this new area of lending, Fannie Mae is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980’s.

”From the perspective of many people, including me, this is another thrift industry growing up around us,” said Peter Wallison a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. ”If they fail, the government will have to step up and bail them out the way it stepped up and bailed out the thrift industry.”

OH, BY THE WAY, THE DATE OF THIS PUBLICATION WAS SEPTEMBER 30, 1999 
Read the article at New York Times

Real Estate

AIG, Bad Management Gets Rewarded

company
So what do you think of AIG receiving $160 million dollars in bonuses?  AIG (American International Group) is an international insurance and financial services organization. You may know that’s only part of a larger package of $450 million of bonuses that are due by contractual agreement with upper management. Who is running AIG anyway?  How can a company that was facing bankruptcy ever come up with a contract that awards money to executives that can’t manage?

AIG received $170 billion in bailout funds and may need more. Some pundits are saying so what, that the bonus payout only amounts to .0097 of one percent of the total bailout monies given to AIG. Are we missing the point here? You reward bad management because it’s only a pittance of the company’s bailout or earnings?

I think that executives that receive large salaries and bonuses lose touch with what’s going on in their company.  Receiving large amounts of money, private jets, all kinds of perks, places the CEO’s and managers in their own separate world, far removed from day to day operations. You only have to look at Merrill Lynch’s CEO, John Thain, remodeling his office in the amount of $1.2 million dollars along with giving a couple of billion dollars in bonus as the company failed and had to be taken over by Bank of America.  Hey, if you’re going to get that kind of money win or lose, what’s the incentive to make sure your company is going to make money? Whatever happened to the concept that your earnings are tied to the earnings of the company you’re running?

Here’s a comment from Jessie M. Fried:

 “If the government were to go in now and try to renege on these contracts, people would just leave the company and the company would collapse,” said Jesse M. Fried, a University of California, Berkeley law professor and co-director of the Berkeley Center Law, Business and the Economy.

Excuse me, in this job market, if the managers don’t get a bonus, where are they going to go? In fact, I understand that some have gotten their bonus and then quit. Finally, here’s a little more detail of what American International Group bonus payouts were.

Fox News reports “New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo says 73 employees at American International Group received bonuses of $1 million or more, with one receiving more than $6 million. 

In a breakdown of the figures, Cuomo reported that the top recipient at AIG got more than $6.4 million and the top seven received more than $4 million each. 

“These payments were all made to individuals in the subsidiary whose performance led to crushing losses and the near failure of AIG. Thus, last week, AIG made more than 73 millionaires in the unit which lost so much money that it brought the firm to its knees, forcing a taxpayer bailout,” Cuomo wrote. “Something is deeply wrong with this outcome.” 

Yes, there is something wrong with this outcome and with a lot of the upper management of our large companies.

Real Estate

Jon Stewart vs Jim Cramer

dragon
It seems bad enough that as I wrote in my blog yesterday, when subprime mortgage loans were showing signs that they were toxic, Wall Street simply re-packaged subprime mortgages into a new costume and called the loans Al-A mortgages. In other words, they took the subprime loans and called it by a different name. Both subprime and Alt-A loans were sold across the financial industry as funds called securitisatins. Insurance firms who bought the re-dressed Alt A securitisatins will be forced sellers since they cannot hold securities below investment grade.

Now, watching  Jon Stewart weight into Jim Cramer, it’s obvious that Wall Street has been playing with our 401K and retirement funds. Cramer admitted under stress, that Wall Street is taking our funds and playing the stock market with it by short selling.  He also admitted that he did short selling and at one time advised people that it was OK to do so. But now he says that it should be stopped! 

I’m the last one to believe in Government intervening in the public sector, but the boys on Wall Street are playing with your money and mine. So where was the oversight of Bernard Madoff, Sir Allen Steward, the repackaging of the subprime  loans, the large intuitional short sellers that can sway the market? Are we asking the fox to guard the hen house?

Many people are being forced into foreclosure because they are losing their jobs and can’t afford to make their mortgage payments.  You know, people who are saying that the Government should not help people who are defaulting on their mortgage may be right.  Maybe Wall Street and the banks should be the ones bailing out the homeowners that have lost their jobs because of their greed.

If you missed the show here is the link

Real Estate

Banks Help Themselves Not Borrowers

Bank of America Nevada City, CA
Bank of America Nevada City, CA

So why am I so mad at banks? Because they have gotten federal bailout monies to start the lending process for borrowers who are distressed and to create new loans. Instead, they have used the money to fatten their bottom line. Have you tried to get a loan for a home lately? Even if you want an equity loan, you need to have a credit score in the upper 700’s, full documentation of your assets and income.
Now how does this grab you for arrogance? A direct quote from a the chairman of Whitney National Bank of New Orleans, quoted from the New York Times:

“At the Palm Beach Ritz-Carlton last November, John C. Hope III, the chairman of Whitney National Bank in New Orleans, stood before a ballroom full of Wall Street analysts and explained how his bank intended to use its $300 million in federal bailout money.

Make more loans?” Mr. Hope said. “We’re not going to change our business model or our credit policies to accommodate the needs of the public sector as they see it to have us make more loans.”

I’ve talked to several people with good credit scores and good income and the banks seem to just put off the loans. In short, the banks do not want to make loans, they want to buy assets. For example, Bank of America has recently bought Countryside, Merrill Lynch and in 2002 they bought FleetBoston Financial for $48 billion. Now, they have received $20 billion to shore up its purchase. Here’s a quote from the BBC News:

“The objective of this program is to foster financial market stability and thereby to strengthen the economy and protect American jobs, savings and retirement security,” the US Treasury said.

In addition to the $20bn cash injection, the Treasury will “provide protection against the possibility of unusually large losses on an asset pool of approximately $118bn of loans”.

If that dosn’t make you mad, let’s start a bank.