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Real Estate

REALTORS® Expect 1 Percent Rise in Calif. Home Sales

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The CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) released its 2012 Housing Market Forecast this week during CALIFORNIA REALTOR® EXPO 2011 in San Jose.  The forecast calls for California home sales and median price to improve only slightly in 2012, as the continuation of the tepid economic recovery, uncertainty about the future, and funding challenges for residential mortgages are expected to keep the market moving sideways, with little foreseeable momentum in either direction.

  • The forecast for California home sales next year is for a slight 1 percent increase to 496,200 units, following essentially flat sales of 491,100 homes this year compared to the 491,500 homes sold in 2010.
  • “Discretionary sellers will play a larger role in next year’s housing market,” said C.A.R. President Beth L. Peerce.  “Those who held off selling in 2011 may list their homes in 2012, thereby improving the mix of homes for sale compared with the last few years.  Additionally, distressed sales will remain an important segment of the overall market as lenders continue to work through the foreclosure process.”
  • The California median home price is expected to increase 1.7 percent in 2012 to $296,000 in 2012, according to the forecast.  Following a double-digit increase in the median price in 2010, the median home price will decrease a projected 4 percent in 2011 to $291,000.
  • View a video of C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young discussing the 2012 Housing Market Forecast.
  • “2012 will be another transition year for the California housing market, as the continued uncertainty about the U.S. financial system, job growth, and the stability of the overall economy remain in the forefront for all market participants,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young.  “An improvement in job growth, consumer spending, and corresponding gains in housing are essential to a broader recovery in the economy, but would-be buyers will remain cautious as they weigh these myriad uncertainties against the clear opportunities presented by today’s very affordable housing market.

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Real Estate

California Sales, Price Snag in May

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A weak economy and tightened financing conditions contributed to a slowdown in California home sales and median price during May, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported yesterday.

  • Home sales in May declined 5.8 percent from April and 14.4 percent from the previous year, while closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 471,840 units.  The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2011 if sales maintained the May pace throughout the year.  It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.
  • “Market demand has been sluggish as would-be home buyers remain concerned about the direction of the economy. They may also be weary of delays in the buying process and difficulty in getting a home loan,” said C.A.R. President Beth L. Peerce.  “This, combined with lenders putting distressed properties on the market at a more deliberate pace, is contributing to homes sitting on the market longer.”
  • The statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home sold in California edged down 0.7 percent in May to $291,760 from a revised $293,800 in April.  May’s median price was down 10.9 percent from the $327,460 recorded in May 2010.
  • C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index, which indicates the number of months needed to deplete the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate, rose to 5.4 months in May, unchanged from April, but up compared with May 2010’s 4.5-month supply.
  • The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home was 51.8 days in May 2011, compared with 37.8 days for the same period a year ago.

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Real Estate

California December Home Sales Increased

· Overall, existing, single-family home sales increased 4 percent in December to a seasonally adjusted rate of 558,320 units on an annualized basis.

· The statewide median price of an existing single-family home increased 0.8 percent in December to $306,820, compared with November 2009.  However, portions of Nevada County median prices dropped.   Grass Valley areas median price in December 2008 was $300,000 compared to $235,000 in December 2009.  A drop of -21.7 percent.  Nevada City area median price in December 2008 was $331,000 compared to December 2009 of $324,500, a drop of -2.0 percent.  In Truckee area median price increased 6.5 percent from $469,500 in December 2008 to $500,000 in December 2009.

· C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index fell to 3.8 months in December, compared with 5.6 months in December 2008.

LOS ANGELES (Jan. 22) – Home sales increased 1.7 percent in December in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 8.4 percent, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.

“As expected, the large year-to-year sales gains have diminished substantially compared with earlier in the year,” said C.A.R. President Steve Goddard. “However, home sales in December were strong, and were comparable to sales of late 2008. Activity in December can be attributed in part to the extension and expansion of the home buyer tax credit, as well as near-historic highs in affordability due to current price levels and low interest rates.

“For the second consecutive month, California’s median home price rose year-to-year in December, and had the largest year-to-year increase in more than three years,” said Goddard. “The state’s median price also remained above $300,000 for the second straight month.”

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled 558,320 in December at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations statewide. Statewide home resale activity increased 1.7 percent from the revised 549,190 sales pace recorded in December 2008. Sales in December 2009 increased 4 percent compared with the previous month.

The statewide sales figure represents what the total number of homes sold during 2009 would be if sales maintained the December pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The median price of an existing, single-family detached home in California during December 2009 was $306,820, an 8.4 percent increase from the revised $283,060 median for December 2008, C.A.R. reported. The December 2009 median price rose 0.8 percent compared with November’s $304,520 median price.

“Home sales were unusually strong in December and were more consistent with peak season trends,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “Historically, the median price declines November through February and then rises in March. However, lean inventory, historically low interest rates, and incentives for home buyers have resulted in California’s housing market experiencing non-seasonal variations.

“Looking forward, we expect the state’s median home price to fluctuate around the $300,000 level throughout the first quarter,” said Appleton-Young. “While we expect to experience price gains in the near term, it remains to be seen how the market will fare once the Federal Reserve discontinues its purchase of mortgage-backed securities.”

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