Tag Archives: Real Estate

Countrywide Sues AIG, AIG Sues Countrywide

March 24, 2009 jd

American International Group also well known as AIG, and Countrywide Financial Corporation have sued each other. Countrywide sued AIG’s United Guaranty Indemnity Company for breach of contract in a dispute over insurance losses for subprime mortgage loans now in default.

In turn, AIG sued Countrywide last week in a California federal court, contending the lender had misrepresented risks tied to more than one billion dollars of mortgage loans that United Guaranty insured.

According to Reuters ”United Guaranty said in its court papers that unlike the traditional use of mortgage insurance, used to facilitate home purchases by responsible borrowers, Countrywide wanted coverage to increase the credit rating of its mortgage-backed securities offerings.

It said Countrywide traded on a long-standing relationship between the two companies to induce it to insure loans it says were too risky and not issued according to proper underwriting standards. It says it has already paid out insurance claims of more than $30 million tied to the Countrywide loans and is exposed to additional claims of “several hundred million dollars more.”

A Bank of America spokeswoman declined to comment on the litigation on Friday. The bank bought Countrywide, once the largest U.S. mortgage lender, for about $4 billion in stock last July as the lender’s risky subprime mortgage loan business began to fail.

An AIG spokesman said Countrywide made misrepresentations and did not follow appropriate underwriting standards, and as a result “exposed us to claims we would not have had to pay out. Now we want the court to order them to make us whole.”

If I had to bet who is going to win this lawsuit, I would place my money with AIG. Having heard much about Countrywide lending practices while we were in a heated real estate and mortgage lending market, I don’t think AIG is going to have much trouble finding problems with the way Countrywide made their subprime loans before the company went belly up. But anyhow, that’s just my opinion based on hearsay.

By the way, can Congress get over the bonus that AIG gave out and get on with the important business of getting this Country back up and running? I think the news media and Congress have spent enough time on this that the CEO’s of large corporations “get it”.

Jon Stewart vs Jim Cramer

March 14, 2009 jd

dragon
It seems bad enough that as I wrote in my blog yesterday, when subprime mortgage loans were showing signs that they were toxic, Wall Street simply re-packaged subprime mortgages into a new costume and called the loans Al-A mortgages. In other words, they took the subprime loans and called it by a different name. Both subprime and Alt-A loans were sold across the financial industry as funds called securitisatins. Insurance firms who bought the re-dressed Alt A securitisatins will be forced sellers since they cannot hold securities below investment grade.

Now, watching Jon Stewart weight into Jim Cramer, it’s obvious that Wall Street has been playing with our 401K and retirement funds. Cramer admitted under stress, that Wall Street is taking our funds and playing the stock market with it by short selling. He also admitted that he did short selling and at one time advised people that it was OK to do so. But now he says that it should be stopped!

I’m the last one to believe in Government intervening in the public sector, but the boys on Wall Street are playing with your money and mine. So where was the oversight of Bernard Madoff, Sir Allen Steward, the repackaging of the subprime loans, the large intuitional short sellers that can sway the market? Are we asking the fox to guard the hen house?

Many people are being forced into foreclosure because they are losing their jobs and can’t afford to make their mortgage payments. You know, people who are saying that the Government should not help people who are defaulting on their mortgage may be right. Maybe Wall Street and the banks should be the ones bailing out the homeowners that have lost their jobs because of their greed.

If you missed the show here is the link

Real Estate

Subprime Foreclosures, Move Over for Alt-A Foreclosures!

March 13, 2009 jd

pick1
Gone are the days when subprime loans were what kept bankers up at night, thanks to explosions in other corners of finance. But, In terms of toxicity, subprime loans had no equal. That is until now. The loans of better heeled people are now beginning to go bad at an alarming rate.Alt-A troubled loans have already brought down some banks, including IndyMac, a California bank. Mooney’s, a rating agency, has recently quadrupled its loss projections on bonds backed by Alt-A loans. It now projects losses for 2006-2007Alt-A securities to top 20%, compared to a historical average of under 1%.

The problem is that much of the Alt-A lending came at the tail-end of the credit boom in late 2006 and 2007. By then subprime was already getting a bad name. So Wall Street hit on a ruse. What it did was to take borrowers who in normal times would have been subprime and dressed them up as mid-prime! Many of these loans were doomed from the start. According to the Bank for International Settlements, a staggering 40% of these American mortgages originated in the first quarter of 2007 were interest only or negative amortization loans.

Alt-A mortgages, were offered to borrowers sandwiched between subprime and prime. These loans were supposed to be for people who had reasonable credit standing but unsteady income, such as the self-employed. The lending institutions had very low standards for these loans, using scant documentation and any way to make a loan, such as exotic negative-amortization mortgages, which allow borrowers to pay less than the accrued interest, with the difference added to the loan balance. Like I said before, the main requirements were to put a mirror in front of your face, if the mirror steamed, it meant you were breathing and you had a loan.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs put possible write downs on the $1.3 trillion of total Alt-A debt, including both securitized and un-securitized loans, at $600 billion, almost as much as expected subprime losses.

So, prepare yourself for another wave of foreclosures, this time the Alt-A mortgages, due to poor lending practices by banks and Wall Street.

Real Estate, Travel

Jon Stewart Blasts CNBC

March 9, 2009 jd 1 Comment

: Another picture of a professional dog walker. Possible new occupation for some of the people on CNBC (I’m still in Buenos Aires and I love dogs)

I love comedy. Comedy takes a complex situation and makes it so easy to understand. This was so much so with the Comedy Central’s skid by Jon Stewart taking on the high and mighty prognosticators of stock market trends on CNBC. Those advisors on CNBC are always full of advice of which stocks to buy, interviewing CEO’s of large companies and glowing about their potential outcome. Jon Stewart shows several of these interviews by them. He then shows the outcome shortly afterwards where for all of their wisdom the companies fail. I love the interview shown of Sir Allen Stanford, a billionaire at the time of the interview on CNBC. Shortly after the interview, the FBI stated that they think Sir Stanford is running a Ponzi scheme.

But the most telling part of the program was when they showed Rick Santelli ranting and raving at the Obama Administration for giving a small portion of the bailout money to homeowners facing foreclosure. Wow, what a rant. (By the way, Santelli was supposed to appear on the show, but didn’t show) But Jon Stewart puts it all in perspective when he proceeded to show that these icons of prognosticators had no problem with the present and past Administrations giving billions of bailout funds to banks, General Motors, Chrysler, AGI and other large companies.

You know it’s easy to place the blame on people facing foreclosure because they should have known what they were getting into when they took out a loan to buy a house. But who set the standards for these loans? It wasn’t the Realtors or the mortgage brokers or the homeowners. Yep, it was the banks setting the lending standards, enticing people into buying a home with low interest rates. Once people bought a home, the loan was set to trigger into a higher interest rate. Don’t you think the banks knew some people could not afford the mortgage? In the old days they called that bait and switch. Now who is getting the majority of the bailout funds, hummm, of course, the banks.

I don’t know what CNBC’s qualifications are to hire Rick Stanletlli or any of the other interviewers. Is it that they are highly educated to help people lose their money, or are they poorly trained psychics? So Rick and his cohorts are hired by CNBC to advise people of the best stocks to buy, and they are almost always 100 percent wrong, so why are they picking on people who are losing their homes? Is it because the homeowners are not as educated in financial matters as they are and should have never bought a home? (Or their stock recommendations)

Like Jon Stewart said, “If I had listened to them, I would be a millionaire, that is, if I had started out with $100 million.” Their coding is screwed up so here’s the best i could do here’s the link to the video.

Real Estate, Travel

Trip to a Museum & Bits & Pieces in Buenos Aires

March 7, 2009 jd

Friday I went to the Museo Nacional De Arte Decorativo or National Museum of Decorative Art. First an update of what’s happening here. The peso was propped up Thursday by the Central Bank and state run banks as they heavily intervened in the market to stop the peso from further weakening. The US gained two cents on the peso Friday, its highest value since 2002. When the banks offered $100 million dollars of its reserves, the peso settled at 3.622 pesos to one dollar. It’s the pesos lowest level since November of last year.

If you think that your credit card interest rate is high, how about the interest rate for commercial construction in Argentina? Argentine President Christina Ferandez complained about “the usurious interest rates” banks are charging private companies for infrastructure works. “Local banks have offered rates of up to 40 or 41 percent” she blasted. Of course Argentina is presently having a 20 percent inflation rate and real estate in Argentina is bought for cash, no low down payment and 30 year mortgage.

Back to the museum, the original structure was built by Mr. Matias Erazyriz and his wife Mrs. Josefina De Alvear. They resided in this huge palace with their two children. The palace was the hub of many major social events until Mrs. Alvear passed away in 1935. The remaining family sold the palace along with the art collection to the Argentine Government shortly thereafter.

The museum is huge, with four floors and a basement that was used for servants, boilers and garage. The museum holds over 4,000 exhibits, some dating back to the 15^th century. It is well worth going to this museum if you happen to be in Buenos Aires. Just the workmanship of the building itself is worth the trip. The museum is located at Av. Del Libertador 1902 in Buenos Aires. Their website is Nacional De Arte Decorativo

So I called the bank again, after paying to rent a computer to get all the information the previous agent wanted. I gave a new agent my card number, social security number and said, now do you want my mother’s name, my address and she cut me off and said “Oh, no you’ve given me enough information.” (Grrr!) She got off the phone for a few minutes, came back and said they were upgrading my card, which was the problem, they were taking care of the problem now and I should be able to use my card in a few hours. So today, I was able to use my card, its fun dealing with a bank, NOT!

Professional Dog Walkers, There are many of Them in Buenos Aires

Prior to traveling abroad, I advised my bank that I was traveling to Buenos Aires. What a surprise when I went to draw out some money and my card was rejected! Calling the international toll free number listed on the back of my card, (which does not work here in Buenos Aires), I was asked for my card number, my social security number, my address, my mother’s name, and then what was the last deposit or what was the last expenditure or my account number. After 10 minutes, having none of that information, I gave up, went on line and got all the information that the agent for the bank requested.

Nevada County Home & Land Statistics, Real Estate

Nevada County Residential Sales January-February 2008 vs. 2009

February 28, 2009 jd

And the real estate market is going to go?

Residential sales for the period January 1, 2009 to February 28, 2009 compared to the same period last year remained about the same. Eighty homes were sold this year compared to eighty six homes last year. However, average sales prices dropped 12% or about $48,500 per home. The average sale price this two month period was $340,866 compared to the same period last year’s average of $389,350.

Days on the market increased to 158 days compared to 128 days on the market for last year or about 19 percent longer on the marked before they sold.

That’s the long and short of it, but I did an analysis of the entire year of 2008. Sales figures for residential home prices in Nevada County indicate a 12% decline in value. Prices of residential homes in Nevada County are still higher than our surrounding neighbors and higher than the State average of $281,100 versus our average of $340,866.

A report from the California Association of Realtors states that “The median price of an existing, single-family detached home in California during December 2008 was $281,100, a 41.5 percent decrease from the revised $480,820 median for December 2007, C.A.R. reported. The December 2008 median price fell 2 percent compared with November’s revised $286,850 median price.

“Median prices continued to decline in December, and based on preliminary calculations, the statewide annual median price declined 38 percent for all of 2008 compared with 2007,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “While the month-to-month decrease in December was considerably smaller than in recent months, it remains too early to determine if prices are beginning to stabilize. Many distressed sales still must work their way through the system.”

Real Estate

China Buying American Real Estate

February 27, 2009 jd 2 Comments

China may be having the same economic troubles that the United States is having, but groups of Chinese are coming here to buy up some bargains. A trip organized by SouFun Holdings, China’s leading property website company announced a tour to America to buy real estate. The trip was heavily oversubscribed and only 40 will make the tour to buy property in the $300,000 to $800,000 range.

According to the Timesonline: “Mo Tianquan, the chairman of Soufun.com, told The Times that his clients were hardly run-of-the-mill Chinese in a country where GDP per head is about $4,000 a year. “These people are not ordinary members of the masses,” Mr Mo said.He said: “I don’t know how much money these people have. I would say they must have at least a million dollars in cash. That’s cash they can spend any time – not investments fixed already in real estate or shares.”

Mr. Tianquan estimated that at least a third of the group were buying for their children studying in the United States. They are interested in both houses and flats, “properties near universities or high schools and bankrupt homes auctioned by the courts. Usually these houses are only half the price they used to be”

“He said: “I don’t know how much money these people have. I would say they must have at least a million dollars in cash. That’s cash they can spend any time – not investments fixed already in real estate or shares.”

One question is why the Chinese would want to buy in the United States when the yuan is seen as likely to rise further in the long term, thus effectively harming the value of their American property.

Mr Mo said that this was a minor consideration for these members of China’s tiny elite. “They don’t care if the dollar will rise or not,” he said. “They are using pocket money to buy houses. To spend these sums has no impact on their way of life. If it makes a profit, and how much, is not a consideration.”

There is one final hurdle: it is not clear how even the super-rich will get their assets out of China, which limits the amount a Chinese person can take out each year to $50,000.”

Its bargain time in the United State again. Some of you may remember the down turn we had in real estate in the 1980’s The Japanese came over here and bought a huge amount of real estate..They poured nearly $300 billion into high-profile properties like Rockefeller Center in New York and the Pebble Beach Golf Club in California. Do you have a feeling that history is repeating itself? I remember the doom and gloom of those days, everyone thought it was the end of the real estate market. We’ve had several booms and busts in the real estate market since then. The real estate market, like the stock market, will always have it’s up and downs.

Real Estate

Now is the Time to Buy Real Estate

February 26, 2009 jd 2 Comments

According to Forbes Warren Buffett is number two in the line up of the 400 richest Americans. If you believe in his wisdom, Mr. Buffett says now is the time to buy! (Mr. Buffett is worth 61 billion dollars)

I’ve read his simple rule for buying of stocks, companies and real estate, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.”

He admits that fear now is widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. And that fear makes us sell stocks and hold on to cash, or hold off buying anything.

Then he observed, “In waiting for the comfort of good news, they are ignoring the great hockey player, Wayne Gretzky’s advice: ‘I skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been.'”

Continuing with some other comments by Mr. Buffett, this is part of the text of an opinion piece written by Warren Buffett and published in the New York Times on Friday, October 17, 2008.

“Today people who hold cash equivalents feel comfortable. They shouldn’t. They have opted for a terrible long-term asset, one that pays virtually nothing and is certain to depreciate in value. Indeed, the policies that government will follow in its efforts to alleviate the current crisis will probably prove inflationary and therefore accelerate declines in the real value of cash accounts”

So while everyone is selling, Warren Buffett is buying. So where are you, are you sitting on your cash, waiting for the market to settle down? Remember the greed of some investors when the market was soaring, they were buying real estate for whatever price the seller was asking. They were buying on the greed side of real estate and many lost their total investment. So who is buying during this fear cycle? Read my previous blog , For Some, Foreclosed Homes Equals Gold.

So if you have the money to invest, now is the time to buy, according to Warren Buffett.

Real Estate

What, I was Just Having a Drink?

February 24, 2009 jd 1 Comment

You might have heard of the real estate agent in Hillsboro, Oregon who used his lock box key to enter into homes and burglarize them. A homeowner returning from a business trip, walked into his house to find Michael Troy Messmer drinking a White Russian. It seemed obvious that Messmer had been in his liquor cabinet.

The homeowner asked Messmer what he was doing and Messmer replys, “I’m a Realtor” with that, him and his girlfriend walk out with a box full of the homeowner’s personal property worth about $260. That was on February 1.

On February 5, this genius was found to have taken some minor items, toiletry and liqueur from a Cornelius home. The items were worth about $250. In both cases, he used his lock box key to enter the homes.

Of course Messner was caught in short order. This is because every time a Realtor uses his lock box key to open a lock box, (where the key to enter the house is located), a code is entered into the lock box leaving behind the agent’s name and the time that the house was entered. It’s too bad that in every profession there is always somebody who is dishonest. Not only was this guy dishonest, but I think he makes the grade for the dumbest criminal of the year.

I don’t know if they do a background check on real estate agents in Oregon, but in California every licensed real estate agent and broker has to have background check prior to obtaining their license, giving assurances that people with criminal records do not get a license.

Real Estate

For Some, Foreclosed Homes Equals Gold.

February 23, 2009 jd 1 Comment

gold

Foreclosed homes are a buying opportunity if you have the cash. For some investors, speculators and first time home buyers are thinking big and finding opportunities in plummeting home prices. A gold lining in the Golden State’s housing crash.

According to the The News

“For many young couples, plummeting prices and near record-low interest rates make it possible to own a home in California for the first time.

Investors and real estate speculators, meanwhile, can snap up foreclosed properties on the cheap to sell during the next boom in California’s boom and bust real estate cycle, a boom they believe is inevitable and possibly not far off”

“This is a buying opportunity of our lifetime,” said Bruce Norris, who heads an investment group that expects to purchase 100 homes in Southern California.”

The article mentions the group buying a home for $55,000 that originally was worth $360,000 at the top of the market, putting $30,000 into it for repairs and renting it $1,200 a month. I would say that’s a fantastic investment.

I know an investor who bought homes during the last real estate downturn. He bought thirteen homes and turned them all into rentals. When his company told him three years ago that they were moving to Texas and if he wanted a job, he would have to move there. He’s still here, doing well living off of the income from his rentals and building a new home in Lake Tahoe.

Yes, now is the time to buy, if you have a secure job or money to invest, if you want an investment that has proven time and again that you can become wealthy buying real estate.